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Red37
66285.5
453923.3
423912.9
Blue47
704820.3
56589.8
72358.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413302060803747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#18
23.30.1
19.219.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End4.5
red by 3.0
7048
#23
20.31.0
18.219.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.8
End7.3
Second
4239
#39
12.90.0
11.411.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End4.8
red by 3.2
5658
#41
9.81.6
5.47.1
Auto1.1
Teleop5.1
End3.6
Third
6628
#46
5.50.1
7.07.0
Auto4.9
Teleop2.0
End-1.4
blue by 3.2
7235
#43
8.61.6
8.610.3
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed47%Hangar oddsEarned