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Red54
253812.7
419820.6
423912.9
Blue100
448018.4
702833.8
329723.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366920608010012054100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#32
20.61.8
14.816.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.0
End7.2
blue by 13.2
33.84.0
28.332.3
Auto10.2
Teleop18.7
End4.9
Second
4239
#39
12.91.1
11.412.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End4.8
blue by 10.2
23.12.4
17.820.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End8.9
Third
2538
#36
12.71.8
12.013.8
Auto3.1
Teleop1.9
End7.8
blue by 5.7
4480
#21
18.44.0
14.318.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed36%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsEarned