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Red36
305812.4
767715.5
250817.4
Blue43
825516.3
66285.5
423816.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5537020801001203643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2508
#17
17.41.4
18.917.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End12.2
red by 1.2
8255
#28
16.30.7
14.415.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End5.2
Second
7677
#16
15.51.4
17.616.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End2.2
blue by 0.6
4238
#30
16.10.4
15.616.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End4.8
Third
3058
#37
12.40.9
12.711.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End2.6
red by 7.0
6628
#46
5.50.7
6.77.4
Auto4.9
Teleop2.0
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
58%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed