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Red50
59292.4
565323.9
250817.4
Blue54
645318.0
327517.8
767715.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46561020304050607080905054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.4
23.824.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End11.1
red by 5.9
6453
#13
18.00.3
17.918.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.8
End9.7
Second
2508
#17
17.40.5
17.518.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End12.2
blue by 0.3
3275
#10
17.80.2
16.917.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End6.3
Third
5929
#48
2.40.5
3.23.7
Auto2.2
Teleop0.6
End-0.4
blue by 13.0
7677
#16
15.50.3
16.216.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsEarned