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Red36
448018.4
72358.6
88879.4
Blue60
825516.3
313421.5
842217.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355902040803660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4480
#21
18.40.0
17.517.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End8.3
blue by 3.1
3134
#12
21.50.5
20.721.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End10.3
Second
8887
#22
9.40.0
10.710.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End4.0
blue by 7.9
8422
#14
17.40.8
16.417.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End10.7
Third
7235
#43
8.60.0
7.77.7
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.9
blue by 7.7
8255
#28
16.30.8
15.015.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsEarned