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Red37
419820.6
59292.4
331312.8
Blue47
617517.4
245010.7
842217.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414902060803747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#32
20.61.3
21.920.6
Auto6.4
Teleop7.0
End7.2
red by 3.2
6175
#34
17.40.2
17.317.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End10.1
Second
3313
#24
12.81.3
14.112.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.8
blue by 4.6
8422
#14
17.40.2
17.217.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End10.7
Third
5929
#48
2.41.3
3.72.4
Auto2.2
Teleop0.6
End-0.4
blue by 8.3
2450
#35
10.70.2
10.510.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed69%Hangar oddsEarned