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Red73
329319.4
460730.7
818811.8
Blue34
313020.6
565323.9
305812.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64634050607080907334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.3
30.130.4
Auto10.9
Teleop9.9
End9.9
red by 6.8
23.90.7
24.724.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End11.1
Second
3293
#38
19.40.4
18.619.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End5.3
blue by 1.2
3130
#15
20.60.8
21.520.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.8
End6.1
Third
8188
#29
11.80.4
11.111.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End3.9
blue by 0.6
3058
#37
12.40.7
13.212.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End2.6