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Red22
436014.9
8777.3
313421.2
Blue39
327514.4
310213.3
704816.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465702040801001202239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3134
Unranked
21.21.5
20.619.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End10.8
red by 5.1
7048
Unranked
16.00.9
18.918.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.0
End5.6
Second
4360
Unranked
14.91.7
17.115.4
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End10.0
red by 0.4
3275
Unranked
14.40.9
15.714.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End6.3
Third
877
Unranked
7.31.7
6.75.0
Auto3.0
Teleop0.5
End3.7
blue by 6.1
3102
Unranked
13.30.9
17.316.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsMissed