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Red40
436014.9
704816.0
327514.4
Blue53
453914.5
87640.0
72359.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47690204060801001204053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7048
Unranked
16.00.5
17.817.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.0
End5.6
blue by 24.0
876
Unranked
40.00.6
37.436.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.5
End11.8
Second
4360
Unranked
14.90.5
15.314.9
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End10.0
red by 0.4
4539
Unranked
14.50.6
18.317.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End3.2
Third
3275
Unranked
14.40.5
13.613.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End6.3
red by 4.6
7235
Unranked
9.80.6
6.66.0
Auto2.0
Teleop2.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsEarned61%Hangar oddsEarned