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Red114
17736.5
23046.5
404823.1
Blue98
13347.4
13140.7
573526.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131285010015020011498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
46.50.1
47.247.3
Auto13.2
Teleop20.8
End12.5
blue by 0.9
133
#3
47.40.4
48.648.1
Auto13.9
Teleop25.2
End8.2
Second
177
#4
36.50.1
37.237.3
Auto9.2
Teleop16.4
End11.0
blue by 4.2
131
#2
40.70.4
41.941.4
Auto7.8
Teleop20.2
End12.6
Third
4048
#16
23.10.1
23.723.9
Auto7.4
Teleop8.1
End7.6
blue by 3.3
5735
#18
26.40.4
27.527.1
Auto8.3
Teleop8.3
End9.8