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Red83
17736.5
23046.5
404823.1
Blue77
13347.4
13140.7
573526.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131270501001502008377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
46.50.6
47.146.5
Auto13.2
Teleop20.8
End12.5
blue by 0.9
133
#3
47.41.0
48.447.4
Auto13.9
Teleop25.2
End8.2
Second
177
#4
36.50.6
37.136.5
Auto9.2
Teleop16.4
End11.0
blue by 4.2
131
#2
40.71.0
41.740.7
Auto7.8
Teleop20.2
End12.6
Third
4048
#16
23.10.6
23.623.1
Auto7.4
Teleop8.1
End7.6
blue by 3.3
5735
#18
26.41.0
27.426.4
Auto8.3
Teleop8.3
End9.8