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Red100
17736.5
23046.5
404823.1
Blue70
110026.0
169923.9
234219.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128655010015010070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
46.50.3
48.448.1
Auto13.2
Teleop20.8
End12.5
red by 20.5
1100
#26
26.00.2
25.925.8
Auto5.9
Teleop14.0
End6.1
Second
177
#4
36.50.3
38.438.1
Auto9.2
Teleop16.4
End11.0
red by 12.6
1699
#11
23.90.2
23.823.7
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End5.3
Third
4048
#16
23.10.3
25.024.7
Auto7.4
Teleop8.1
End7.6
red by 3.8
2342
#28
19.30.2
19.219.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End7.8