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Red92
115338.8
490534.0
17522.8
Blue100
175736.2
490933.2
226219.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079140608010012014016092100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#12
38.80.2
39.639.4
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End10.3
red by 2.5
1757
#17
36.20.3
36.036.3
Auto9.4
Teleop21.9
End5.0
Second
34.00.2
34.934.6
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End9.7
red by 0.8
33.20.3
33.033.3
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End8.0
Third
175
#15
22.80.2
23.623.4
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End5.4
red by 3.8
2262
#38
19.00.3
18.719.0
Auto5.9
Teleop3.7
End9.3