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Red101
115338.8
490534.0
17522.8
Blue94
175736.2
490933.2
226219.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1069340608012014016010194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#12
38.80.0
39.439.4
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End10.3
red by 2.5
1757
#17
36.20.1
36.336.2
Auto9.4
Teleop21.9
End5.0
Second
34.00.0
34.634.6
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End9.7
red by 0.8
33.20.1
33.333.2
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End8.0
Third
175
#15
22.80.0
23.423.4
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End5.4
red by 3.8
2262
#38
19.00.1
19.019.0
Auto5.9
Teleop3.7
End9.3