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Red65
63249.7
175736.2
542217.1
Blue73
107124.6
872425.2
404122.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58740501001506573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1757
#17
36.20.6
27.427.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.9
End5.0
red by 11.1
8724
#32
25.20.1
25.725.8
Auto9.4
Teleop11.0
End4.8
Second
5422
#36
17.10.6
17.217.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End9.2
blue by 7.5
1071
#21
24.60.1
19.619.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.7
End7.7
Third
6324
#37
9.70.6
12.112.6
Auto2.5
Teleop2.3
End5.0
blue by 12.8
4041
#31
22.50.1
22.322.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.3
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
54%Cargo oddsEarned54%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsEarned