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Red98
234219.3
71618.5
8839.2
Blue72
169923.9
7830.1
110026.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79756070901001109872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#8
39.21.6
36.838.5
Auto9.6
Teleop18.8
End10.9
red by 9.1
78
#10
30.10.5
24.423.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End9.0
Second
2342
#28
19.31.6
17.719.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End7.8
blue by 6.8
1100
#26
26.00.5
23.723.2
Auto5.9
Teleop14.0
End6.1
Third
716
#19
18.51.6
19.020.6
Auto3.3
Teleop9.4
End5.7
blue by 5.4
1699
#11
23.90.5
23.222.7
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
68%Cargo oddsEarned62%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsEarned67%Hangar oddsEarned