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Red49
8839.2
226219.0
169923.9
Blue68
490933.2
808526.1
854422.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957940601201404968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#8
39.23.1
38.535.4
Auto9.6
Teleop18.8
End10.9
red by 6.0
33.20.5
27.426.8
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End8.0
Second
1699
#11
23.93.1
22.719.6
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End5.3
blue by 2.2
26.10.5
25.825.3
Auto8.4
Teleop11.3
End6.4
Third
2262
#38
19.03.1
25.922.8
Auto5.9
Teleop3.7
End9.3
blue by 3.4
8544
#23
22.30.5
22.922.3
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsMissed61%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned