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Red112
872425.2
13347.4
490933.2
Blue108
5832.7
237033.8
192220.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105834060120140112108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#3
47.40.6
45.345.9
Auto13.9
Teleop25.2
End8.2
red by 13.6
2370
#20
33.81.3
31.132.4
Auto6.7
Teleop16.0
End11.1
Second
33.20.6
26.827.4
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End8.0
red by 0.5
58
#14
32.71.3
34.135.3
Auto6.9
Teleop15.2
End10.6
Third
8724
#32
25.20.6
23.423.9
Auto9.4
Teleop11.0
End4.8
red by 5.1
1922
#29
20.11.3
15.817.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned72%Hangar oddsEarned