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Red100
234219.3
175736.2
7830.1
Blue48
320519.9
63249.7
456433.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816720406010012014010048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1757
#17
36.21.7
27.829.6
Auto9.4
Teleop21.9
End5.0
red by 2.9
4564
#13
33.31.1
35.234.1
Auto9.0
Teleop12.4
End11.9
Second
78
#10
30.11.7
26.628.4
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End9.0
red by 10.2
3205
#33
19.91.1
17.716.6
Auto4.3
Teleop8.0
End7.5
Third
2342
#28
19.31.7
19.421.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End7.8
red by 9.6
6324
#37
9.71.1
11.610.5
Auto2.5
Teleop2.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned36%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned90%Hangar oddsMissed