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Red61
147418.1
872425.2
234219.3
Blue77
172913.4
17736.5
226219.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069506080906177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8724
#32
25.20.4
25.224.7
Auto9.4
Teleop11.0
End4.8
blue by 11.3
177
#4
36.50.7
35.536.2
Auto9.2
Teleop16.4
End11.0
Second
2342
#28
19.30.4
19.519.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End7.8
red by 0.3
2262
#38
19.00.7
20.120.8
Auto5.9
Teleop3.7
End9.3
Third
1474
#35
18.10.4
18.918.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End4.0
red by 4.7
1729
#39
13.40.7
11.211.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsMissed48%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsMissed70%Hangar oddsMissed