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Red85
23046.5
15523.9
456433.3
Blue104
115338.8
8839.2
490933.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117110608010014016085104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
46.51.6
48.446.8
Auto13.2
Teleop20.8
End12.5
red by 7.3
88
#8
39.20.8
35.534.6
Auto9.6
Teleop18.8
End10.9
Second
4564
#13
33.31.6
34.833.2
Auto9.0
Teleop12.4
End11.9
blue by 5.4
1153
#12
38.80.8
38.637.8
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End10.3
Third
155
#30
23.91.6
25.423.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.9
End4.5
blue by 9.3
33.20.8
30.129.3
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsMissed