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Red74
115338.8
110026.0
542217.1
Blue127
15523.9
175736.2
490933.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8888708010011012074127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#12
38.80.5
37.837.3
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End10.3
red by 2.5
1757
#17
36.22.4
30.632.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.9
End5.0
Second
1100
#26
26.00.5
26.425.8
Auto5.9
Teleop14.0
End6.1
blue by 7.2
33.22.4
29.331.6
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End8.0
Third
5422
#36
17.10.5
17.717.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End9.2
blue by 6.8
155
#30
23.92.4
23.926.2
Auto6.6
Teleop12.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsEarned