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Red113
870818.3
115338.8
175736.2
Blue121
490534.0
13347.4
7830.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90128406080100120140160180200113121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#12
38.81.0
37.938.9
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End10.3
blue by 8.6
133
#3
47.40.4
48.148.5
Auto13.9
Teleop25.2
End8.2
Second
1757
#17
36.21.0
33.734.7
Auto9.4
Teleop21.9
End5.0
red by 2.2
34.00.4
35.435.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End9.7
Third
8708
#25
18.31.0
18.019.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End6.2
blue by 11.8
78
#10
30.10.4
32.032.3
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsMissed