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Red73
7830.1
854422.3
15523.9
Blue65
226219.0
174033.5
872425.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868665707580907365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#10
30.11.0
32.331.3
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End9.0
blue by 3.4
1740
#22
33.51.0
34.533.5
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End5.1
Second
155
#30
23.91.0
25.023.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.9
End4.5
blue by 1.2
8724
#32
25.21.0
26.225.2
Auto9.4
Teleop11.0
End4.8
Third
8544
#23
22.31.0
23.422.3
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End6.6
red by 3.4
2262
#38
19.01.0
19.718.7
Auto5.9
Teleop3.7
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsMissed82%Hangar oddsMissed