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Red79
192220.1
23046.5
767421.7
Blue76
573526.4
870818.3
17736.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029060801201401607976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
46.51.3
49.648.4
Auto13.2
Teleop20.8
End12.5
red by 10.0
177
#4
36.50.7
39.138.4
Auto9.2
Teleop16.4
End11.0
Second
7674
#27
21.71.3
22.921.7
Auto6.7
Teleop5.7
End9.2
blue by 4.7
5735
#18
26.40.7
28.027.4
Auto8.3
Teleop8.3
End9.8
Third
1922
#29
20.11.3
21.320.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End3.9
red by 1.7
8708
#25
18.30.7
19.018.3
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsEarned