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Red100
31931.1
115338.8
174033.5
Blue87
365424.0
226219.0
175736.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105682040608012014016010087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#12
38.80.4
36.937.3
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End10.3
red by 2.5
1757
#17
36.20.2
27.227.4
Auto9.4
Teleop21.9
End5.0
Second
1740
#22DQ
33.50.4
30.330.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End5.1
red by 9.5
3654
#24
24.00.2
15.015.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End14.3
Third
319
#5
31.10.4
26.526.9
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End11.5
red by 12.1
2262
#38
19.00.2
26.326.4
Auto5.9
Teleop3.7
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsMissed