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Red107
17736.5
23046.5
404823.1
Blue86
115338.8
490534.0
17522.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12010040608014016018010786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
46.50.6
47.847.2
Auto13.2
Teleop20.8
End12.5
red by 7.7
1153
#12
38.80.2
39.038.8
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End10.3
Second
177
#4
36.50.6
37.837.2
Auto9.2
Teleop16.4
End11.0
red by 2.5
34.00.2
34.234.0
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End9.7
Third
4048
#16
23.10.6
24.323.7
Auto7.4
Teleop8.1
End7.6
red by 0.3
175
#15
22.80.2
23.022.8
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End5.4