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Red128
17656.4
23844.2
584613.4
Blue100
632944.0
9544.7
804623.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121121100105110115125130135128100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#3
56.40.0
56.356.4
Auto15.6
Teleop28.2
End12.7
red by 11.6
95
#2
44.70.3
45.044.7
Auto12.0
Teleop21.3
End11.5
Second
238
#1
44.20.0
44.244.2
Auto12.5
Teleop20.1
End11.6
red by 0.2
44.00.3
44.344.0
Auto9.0
Teleop23.6
End11.4
Third
5846
#35
13.40.0
13.313.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End3.5
blue by 10.5
8046
#14
23.90.3
24.223.9
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End6.1