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Red98
107327.1
17231.6
23729.5
Blue66
66319.4
264821.6
19534.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817640601001209866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#7
31.61.2
27.328.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End10.6
blue by 3.0
195
#10
34.60.4
35.435.0
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End9.6
Second
237
#21
29.51.2
22.523.8
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End7.3
red by 7.9
2648
#15
21.60.4
18.317.9
Auto6.8
Teleop11.3
End3.6
Third
1073
#30
27.11.2
25.526.8
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End7.3
red by 7.7
663
#33
19.40.4
18.217.8
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned58%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsMissed