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Red116
17656.4
23844.2
102718.7
Blue93
176829.4
314629.2
287727.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121836010014016011693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#3
56.40.5
54.254.7
Auto15.6
Teleop28.2
End12.7
red by 26.9
1768
#18
29.40.4
29.730.1
Auto8.2
Teleop13.4
End7.8
Second
238
#1
44.20.5
36.537.0
Auto12.5
Teleop20.1
End11.6
red by 15.0
3146
#29
29.20.4
25.125.5
Auto8.7
Teleop10.2
End10.3
Third
1027
#37
18.70.5
18.418.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End10.1
blue by 9.1
2877
#12
27.80.4
28.128.5
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned57%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned