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Red81
802311.0
9544.7
17231.6
Blue79
176829.4
55822.6
102718.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90694060801001208179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#2
44.70.6
41.841.2
Auto12.0
Teleop21.3
End11.5
red by 15.3
1768
#18
29.40.8
27.928.6
Auto8.2
Teleop13.4
End7.8
Second
172
#7
31.60.6
27.727.1
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End10.6
red by 9.0
558
#22
22.60.8
22.223.0
Auto7.6
Teleop5.8
End9.3
Third
8023
#34
11.00.6
12.612.0
Auto3.7
Teleop0.8
End6.5
blue by 7.7
1027
#37
18.70.8
17.618.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned