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Red94
109914.4
271325.2
17656.4
Blue82
804623.9
12631.7
715319.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1107740601001201409482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#3
56.41.1
54.453.3
Auto15.6
Teleop28.2
End12.7
red by 24.7
126
#13
31.70.4
33.934.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End10.9
Second
2713
#16
25.21.1
25.123.9
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End1.5
red by 1.3
8046
#14
23.90.4
23.523.9
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Third
1099
#32
14.41.1
19.218.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End2.1
blue by 4.9
7153
#26
19.20.4
19.019.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned82%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsMissed78%Hangar oddsEarned