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Red83
9544.7
669016.9
804623.9
Blue79
22830.7
16625.5
19534.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions949380901001101208379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#2
44.70.5
45.945.4
Auto12.0
Teleop21.3
End11.5
red by 10.1
195
#10
34.60.9
37.936.9
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End9.6
Second
8046
#14
23.90.5
23.923.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End6.1
blue by 6.8
228
#11
30.70.9
26.025.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End10.6
Third
6690
#20
16.90.5
16.716.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End5.1
blue by 8.6
166
#17
25.50.9
25.024.1
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsEarned88%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsMissed96%Hangar oddsEarned