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Red58
23729.5
584613.4
715319.2
Blue124
346130.2
9544.7
271325.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631075015058124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#21
29.51.0
28.427.5
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End7.3
blue by 15.3
95
#2
44.71.7
43.845.5
Auto12.0
Teleop21.3
End11.5
Second
7153
#26
19.21.0
19.818.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.2
End4.4
blue by 10.9
30.21.7
28.029.7
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End12.0
Third
5846
#35
13.41.0
16.415.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End3.5
blue by 11.8
2713
#16
25.21.7
22.924.5
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed92%Hangar oddsEarned