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Red80
12631.7
176829.4
22830.7
Blue65
19534.6
107327.1
584613.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106762040601201401608065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#13
31.71.3
34.733.4
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End10.9
blue by 2.9
195
#10
34.61.0
35.534.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End9.6
Second
228
#11
30.71.3
31.129.7
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End10.6
red by 3.6
1073
#30
27.11.0
26.225.2
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End7.3
Third
1768
#18
29.41.3
30.329.0
Auto8.2
Teleop13.4
End7.8
red by 16.1
5846
#35
13.41.0
13.812.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsEarned84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsMissed76%Hangar oddsMissed