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Red56
264821.6
199120.8
620120.3
Blue56
568741.9
102718.7
802311.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627102040801001201405656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#15
21.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.3
End3.6
blue by 20.4
41.9
Auto11.7
Teleop17.2
End13.0
Second
1991
#31
20.8
Auto8.1
Teleop8.2
End4.5
red by 2.1
1027
#37
18.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End10.1
Third
6201
#24
20.3
Auto5.6
Teleop4.1
End10.6
red by 9.4
8023
#34
11.0
Auto3.7
Teleop0.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsMissed93%Hangar oddsMissed