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Red144
171035.7
703446.7
168447.0
Blue163
291058.0
173036.0
97356.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13616450100150200250144163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#18
47.00.2
47.647.8
Auto10.1
Teleop26.6
End10.3
blue by 11.0
58.00.3
58.158.4
Auto14.8
Teleop30.6
End12.6
Second
46.70.2
47.447.6
Auto13.4
Teleop21.2
End12.1
blue by 9.4
973
#10
56.20.3
56.356.5
Auto12.9
Teleop34.8
End8.5
Third
1710
#51
35.70.2
36.436.6
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End6.7
blue by 0.3
1730
#15
36.00.3
35.736.0
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End8.7