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Red121
291058.0
16628.5
209626.1
Blue90
552610.3
298732.1
306525.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12953010015020012190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.00.4
59.059.4
Auto14.8
Teleop30.6
End12.6
red by 25.9
2987
#44
32.11.5
28.930.4
Auto6.3
Teleop15.9
End10.0
Second
166
#8
28.50.4
28.929.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End11.2
red by 3.5
3065
#71
25.01.5
21.022.5
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End9.0
Third
2096
#63
26.10.4
23.223.6
Auto9.6
Teleop9.3
End7.2
red by 15.8
5526
#76
10.31.5
9.611.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned51%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned22%Hangar oddsEarned