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Red102
209626.1
306525.0
509812.7
Blue121
346131.6
241228.8
167635.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions541010150200102121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#63
26.12.5
23.626.1
Auto9.6
Teleop9.3
End7.2
blue by 9.1
35.21.9
33.135.0
Auto7.4
Teleop16.3
End11.5
Second
3065
#71
25.02.5
22.525.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End9.0
blue by 6.6
31.61.9
29.731.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End12.3
Third
5098
#74
12.72.5
10.212.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End2.7
blue by 16.1
2412
#34
28.81.9
25.827.7
Auto8.6
Teleop14.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsEarned87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned