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Red103
439240.2
198645.8
884824.1
Blue136
490937.0
703446.7
742122.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12010350150200103136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#17
45.80.5
45.344.7
Auto9.9
Teleop28.4
End7.5
blue by 0.9
46.72.5
44.446.9
Auto13.4
Teleop21.2
End12.1
Second
4392
#25
40.20.5
40.740.2
Auto10.7
Teleop20.9
End8.5
red by 3.2
4909
#32
37.02.5
34.637.1
Auto8.3
Teleop18.8
End9.9
Third
8848
#59
24.10.5
24.624.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End9.4
red by 2.0
7421
#29
22.12.5
19.622.1
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned