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Red113
11433.2
287227.3
205434.9
Blue119
873218.3
212248.3
2762.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86151050100200250113119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#47
34.91.3
36.437.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.0
End11.3
blue by 27.4
27
#12
62.31.0
63.762.8
Auto14.0
Teleop34.9
End13.5
Second
114
#33
33.21.3
29.330.7
Auto6.0
Teleop16.3
End10.9
blue by 15.0
48.31.0
49.848.8
Auto11.1
Teleop25.1
End12.1
Third
2872
#37
27.31.3
23.224.5
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End5.5
red by 9.0
8732
#75
18.31.0
19.918.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
77%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned78%Hangar oddsEarned