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Red85
516633.5
545818.4
287227.3
Blue114
182536.9
501337.1
291058.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7215405010020085114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#66
33.50.5
37.638.1
Auto9.8
Teleop13.6
End10.1
blue by 24.6
58.01.3
62.761.4
Auto14.8
Teleop30.6
End12.6
Second
2872
#37
27.30.5
24.525.0
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End5.5
blue by 9.8
5013
#45
37.11.3
37.035.7
Auto7.2
Teleop20.9
End9.0
Third
5458
#72
18.40.5
15.816.3
Auto7.7
Teleop5.0
End5.8
blue by 18.5
1825
#22
36.91.3
34.132.8
Auto11.0
Teleop16.4
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned