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Red106
115343.1
298732.1
58738.3
Blue120
167635.2
57332.4
97356.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106130050150200250106120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#11
43.10.0
38.838.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.4
End12.0
blue by 13.1
973
#10
56.20.5
62.061.5
Auto12.9
Teleop34.8
End8.5
Second
587
#40
38.30.0
35.435.3
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End11.4
red by 3.1
35.20.5
30.630.2
Auto7.4
Teleop16.3
End11.5
Third
2987
#44
32.10.0
28.028.0
Auto6.3
Teleop15.9
End10.0
blue by 0.2
573
#46
32.40.5
26.225.8
Auto7.4
Teleop16.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned