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Red72
293035.3
346131.6
524214.7
Blue65
656034.7
684423.2
873218.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877802040601001201401607265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#54
35.30.9
34.934.0
Auto13.2
Teleop14.6
End7.5
red by 0.6
6560
#43
34.70.7
33.032.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End10.3
Second
31.60.9
31.130.2
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End12.3
red by 8.4
6844
#60
23.20.7
22.922.2
Auto7.4
Teleop5.9
End10.0
Third
5242
#65
14.70.9
15.014.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End6.9
blue by 3.6
8732
#75
18.30.7
18.918.3
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
71%Cargo oddsMissed67%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsEarned