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Red78
384743.8
319620.9
293035.3
Blue100
346131.6
209626.1
164036.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117955015020078100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#36
43.81.9
49.147.2
Auto10.1
Teleop23.9
End9.7
red by 6.9
1640
#16
36.90.3
37.637.8
Auto8.9
Teleop20.4
End7.6
Second
2930
#54
35.31.9
34.032.1
Auto13.2
Teleop14.6
End7.5
red by 3.7
31.60.3
30.230.5
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End12.3
Third
3196
#68
20.91.9
23.521.5
Auto7.4
Teleop3.6
End9.9
blue by 5.3
2096
#63
26.10.3
23.924.2
Auto9.6
Teleop9.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned