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Red123
715745.9
703446.7
153341.9
Blue157
178742.2
291058.0
173036.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142141110120130150160170180123157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.71.0
38.237.2
Auto13.4
Teleop21.2
End12.1
blue by 11.3
58.01.4
61.462.7
Auto14.8
Teleop30.6
End12.6
Second
45.91.0
50.349.3
Auto10.6
Teleop28.4
End6.9
red by 3.6
1787
#26
42.21.4
35.336.6
Auto8.4
Teleop20.3
End13.5
Third
1533
#21
41.91.0
45.144.2
Auto10.7
Teleop23.4
End7.8
red by 6.0
1730
#15
36.01.4
35.937.2
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsEarned