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Red130
16628.5
58738.3
656034.7
Blue85
516633.5
36534.8
5139.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971195015020013085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#40
38.31.9
34.536.4
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End11.4
blue by 0.9
51
#57
39.21.6
38.937.3
Auto8.6
Teleop18.7
End11.9
Second
6560
#43
34.71.9
32.334.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End10.3
blue by 0.1
365
#27
34.81.6
33.531.9
Auto8.3
Teleop17.1
End9.4
Third
166
#8
28.51.9
26.728.6
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End11.2
blue by 5.0
5166
#66
33.51.6
36.735.1
Auto9.8
Teleop13.6
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsEarned