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Red126
287227.3
703446.7
319620.9
Blue103
505039.7
876813.6
168447.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions879750150126103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.71.8
37.239.0
Auto13.4
Teleop21.2
End12.1
blue by 0.2
1684
#18
47.00.9
43.144.0
Auto10.1
Teleop26.6
End10.3
Second
2872
#37
27.31.8
24.326.1
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End5.5
blue by 12.4
5050
#41
39.70.9
38.139.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.9
End12.6
Third
3196
#68
20.91.8
21.523.3
Auto7.4
Teleop3.6
End9.9
red by 7.3
8768
#73
13.60.9
8.39.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsEarned79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned73%Hangar oddsEarned