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Qual 542022 Newton Division
Red146
171035.7
57332.4
212248.3
Blue111
149335.8
346131.6
11151.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109125050150200250146111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#2
48.32.3
46.6→48.9
Auto11.1
Teleop25.1
End12.1
blue by 3.5
111
#6
51.80.3
51.3→51.0
Auto15.3
Teleop27.9
End8.6
Second
1710
#51
35.72.3
31.0→33.2
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End6.7
blue by 0.1
1493
#23
35.80.3
33.4→33.1
Auto11.7
Teleop17.7
End6.4
Third
573
#46
32.42.3
26.4→28.7
Auto7.4
Teleop16.6
End8.4
red by 0.7
3461
#5
31.60.3
30.5→30.2
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned