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Red108
299039.1
580434.3
115343.1
Blue124
248640.6
36534.8
301543.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11212250100150200108124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#11
43.10.1
37.737.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.4
End12.0
blue by 0.1
3015
#14
43.20.7
40.441.1
Auto10.3
Teleop20.0
End12.8
Second
2990
#30
39.10.1
38.638.6
Auto8.6
Teleop19.1
End11.4
blue by 1.5
2486
#35
40.60.7
41.342.0
Auto6.1
Teleop25.0
End9.5
Third
5804
#50
34.30.1
30.530.5
Auto8.6
Teleop13.4
End12.3
blue by 0.4
365
#27
34.80.7
31.932.6
Auto8.3
Teleop17.1
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned